Friday, May. 11, 2001
each President (omitting W. H. Harrison and Garfield because they died so soon
after taking office) in one of five categories: Great, Near Great, Average, Below
Average and Failure."
Employing a Justice Potter Stewart type standard (you know pornography when
you see it), each of the fifty-five selected scholars decided for themselves how
to judge greatness.
The first Schlesinger poll (1948) produced six greats: Lincoln, Washington,
FDR, Wilson, Jefferson and Jackson. There were two failures: Grant and Harding.
The last Schlesinger poll (1996) found only three greats: Lincoln, Washington
and FDR. There were five more failures, though, for a total of seven: Pierce,
Grant, Hoover, Nixon, Andrew Johnson, Buchanan and Harding.
Other Presidential Ranking Polls
Given the media attention generated by the early Schlesinger polls, others soon
followed. In 1970, there was a poll of 571 historians. Based on accomplishments
of the administration, the top and bottom rankings were vitally identical with
the first and last Schlesinger polls.
In 1979, Robert E. DiClerico polled 93 historians to find the ten greatest
presidents. He reported them in his The American President: Lincoln (greatest)
Washington, FDR, Jefferson, T. Roosevelt, Wilson, Jackson, Truman, Polk and J.
Adams.
The flip side of DiClerico's ten greatest was offered by Nathan Miller in his
1998 work Star-Spangled Men: American's Ten Worst Presidents: Nixon, Harding,
Buchanan, Pierce, A. Johnson, Grant, Coolidge, B. Harrison, Taft and Carter.
The most recent ranking I've found was undertaken by the ubiquitous Federalist
Society, joining forces with the Wall Street Journal in November 2000. This study
involved 78 presidential scholars - 30 historians, 25 political scientists and
23 law professors. The scholars were selected in such a way as to assure that
the jury was politically balanced.
Remarkably, the findings of this study are almost identical to those of the
1996 Schlesinger poll (which was perceived to be a jury of the left). Greats:
Washington outranked Lincoln, with FDR holding the third slot. Failures: A. Johnson,
Pierce, Harding and Buchanan. No other ranking (so far) has put Buchanan at the
bottom.
Ranking presidential greatness is a parlor game for presidential scholars.
Who else can distinguish the relative greatness of any outside their memory?
Look, for example, at Time magazine's longtime presidential pundit Hugh
Sidey, who narrated the ten hour PBS series on all 41 former presidents. "Who
the heck knew about Tyler or Fillmore or Hayes," he admitted.
Not only is ranking the presidents a game, it is one without any real
rules. Each scholar uses his own criteria to rank. While a few ranking efforts
have sought to establish criteria, the measurements have nevertheless remained
vague and totally subjective. Moreover, the fact that few if any
scholars have true expertise outside a few presidencies means that even scholars
individual assessments may be suspect.
In short, viewed objectively, these rankings tell us almost nothing.
Can We Learn Anything Worth Knowing From Ranking Presidents?
These rankings do make one interesting point, however. One man has been consistently
found to be "great" for each century in our nation's history: George Washington
for the 18th, Abraham Lincoln for the 19th, and Franklin Roosevelt for the 20th.
The constancy of this judgment over almost a half century is very striking,
given the diversity of criteria, and the uniqueness of each judging panel. It
unquestionably shows that these three figures have established our norms for presidential
greatness: They set the standard to which the wise and honest can repair.
The other end of the spectrum is less definite, and far more subjective
and variable. Those ranked as failures are constantly changing their positions,
both up and down.
For example, in the 1948 Schlesinger poll, Andrew Johnson was ranked 19th,
but he fell to 22nd in the 1962 Schlesinger poll, to 37th in the 1996
Schlesinger poll, and to 36th in the 2000 Federalist Society-Wall Street
Journal ranking poll. One can almost hear him protesting: "What did I do?"
While Andrew Johnson has been heading downwards, Ulysses Grant has been steadily rising. He moved from being tied with Harding as one of two failures in 1948 to
being rated as simply below average in 2000. Given the new interest in him, he
may go higher in the next poll.
Warren G. Harding Is Not A Role Model for a Failed Presidency
Meanwhile, everyone's long-time worst president, Warren G. Harding is anything
but a role model for failure.
Indeed, at the time of his death in office, he was widely respected and greatly
loved. He was a president who actually cut taxes while helping the nation accomplish
the transition from a wartime (WWI) economy. And he created new agencies of government
that remain with us to this day: Veterans Affairs and the Bureau of the Budget.
Harding, a highly articulate president, spoke out against the plight of blacks
and against racism when it was highly unpopular to do so. He hired for his cabinet
men who were among the best and brightest, such as Herbert Hoover, his Secretary
of Commerce, and Charles Evans Hughes, his Secretary of State.
The criminal scandals that engulfed Harding's presidency after his death
were not of his making nor was he complicit in them. His alleged extramarital
activities surfaced after his death, too. That meant, of course, that he thus
had no opportunity to explain or apologize, to take or deny responsibility. Moreover,
if infidelity determines the rank of a president, many who followed should have
their ranking adjusted.
The polls' unfortunate tendency to confine Harding to history's dustbin has
long made me highly suspicious of this parlor game's significance. A presidency
well worth studying is ignored and disparaged.
Good Entertainment Value
I would be the first to admit that these presidential rankings are great
fun, and good entertainment. That is about it, however.
Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. has spent a life-time studying the presidency. Few, if
any, know more. When he agreed to another round in the "game of ranking" it seemed
to me he did so with reluctance. He noted that "making judgments about some of
the Presidents since Eisenhower stumped" him. And if he had difficulty, who would
not? Only he is candid enough to admit it.
Still, the game of ranking is, it must be said, a good game. But remember the words of H. Allen Smith: "The human animal differs from the lesser primates in
his passion for lists of Ten Best" -- including the ranking of presidents.